Gil Vicente 0-4 Sporting CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
7.18
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
59%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.54
2-3 Goals
44%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.89
6+ Goals
10%
8.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
14.7
1/2
7%
22.7
1/X
5%
22.3
X/1
6%
18.6
X/2
15%
3.46
X/X
9%
7.48
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
36%
1.53
2/X
9%
21.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
11%
+7.0pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.6pp
59%
Away Win
71%
-11.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP EU Bookmakers 75%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.93/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/0.81
-5% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -20%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
238 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 450 · 83%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.1
14.2 Crosses 22.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Sporting CP
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.78 xG 2.34
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 6
301 Passes 470
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 32
6 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.12.2023 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-1 HT 1-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
05.04.2023 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
30.09.2022 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-1 HT 2-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
01.05.2022 Sporting CP Sporting CP 4-1 HT 2-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
18.12.2021 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 0-3 HT 0-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
10.02.2021 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-2 HT 1-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente
0-4
AWAY Sporting CP
1.03 xG 2.14
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
363 Passes 512
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Box Touches 31
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente vs Sporting CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP cruised past Gil Vicente 4-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gil Vicente had 43% of the ball to Sporting CP's 57%, shots finished 6-18, expected goals 1.03 to 2.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gil Vicente and 2.50 for Sporting CP.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente vs Sporting CP?

Gil Vicente 0-4 Sporting CP in the Portugal - Premier League on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente vs Sporting CP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente 18%, draw 22%, Sporting CP 59%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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