Rudar Velenje 1-2 Bilje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.0pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rudar Velenje EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Bilje EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +9%
1.58/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.30
+1% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rudar Velenje
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Bilje
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.09.2023 Bilje 2-2 HT 1-1 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
09.09.2022 Bilje 4-3 HT 1-0 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
23.04.2022 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 0-1 HT 0-0 Bilje SLVN2
09.10.2021 Bilje 0-2 HT 0-0 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rudar Velenje
1-2
AWAY Bilje
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rudar Velenje vs Bilje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bilje squeezed past Rudar Velenje 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Rudar Velenje at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rudar Velenje had 60% of the ball to Bilje's 40%, shots finished 19-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bilje led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Rudar Velenje and 1.75 for Bilje.

What was the final score of Rudar Velenje vs Bilje?

Rudar Velenje 1-2 Bilje in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rudar Velenje vs Bilje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rudar Velenje win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rudar Velenje 47%, draw 25%, Bilje 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rudar Velenje) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rudar Velenje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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