Trabzonspor 0-1 Sivasspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 12 Apr 2024

Trabzonspor
0-1 HT 0-0
Sivasspor
📅12/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Trabzonspor vs Sivasspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
26%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.9
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.9 — our 27% vs market 20.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.74
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
18.2
X/1
22%
3.57
X/2
13%
14.0
X/X
8%
6.18
2/1
9%
22.7
2/2
8%
11.3
2/X
5%
19.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
65%
-11.7pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.1pp
26%
Away Win
14%
+11.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Trabzonspor v Sivasspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.97/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.42
+6% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +8%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
414 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
20.1 Crosses 16.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

Trabzonspor vs Sivasspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trabzonspor
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sivasspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.23 xG 1.45
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
411 Passes 335
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.11.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 3-3 HT 2-2 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
20.04.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 4-1 HT 2-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
22.10.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
30.07.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 4-0 HT 1-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSK
15.01.2022 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
23.08.2021 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL

Trabzonspor 0-1 Sivasspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trabzonspor
0-1
AWAY Sivasspor
1.33 xG 1.26
71% Ball Possession 29%
21 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
14 Corners 5
592 Passes 202
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
43 Box Touches 10
33 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Trabzonspor vs Sivasspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sivasspor nicked a narrow win over Trabzonspor 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Trabzonspor at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Trabzonspor had 71% of the ball to Sivasspor's 29%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 1.33 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trabzonspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Trabzonspor and 1.50 for Sivasspor.

What was the final score of Trabzonspor vs Sivasspor?

Trabzonspor 0-1 Sivasspor in the Turkey - Super League on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trabzonspor vs Sivasspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Trabzonspor 54%, draw 20%, Sivasspor 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Trabzonspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✓ BTTS No
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