Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-1 Shaanxi Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.96
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.64
6+ Goals
8%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 30% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.6pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Shaanxi Union EU Bookmakers 24%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+5% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 70%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
30.2 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
2-1
AWAY Shaanxi Union
0.85 xG 0.28
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
255 Passes 162
74% Pass Accuracy 63%
19 Box Touches 8
30 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shaanxi Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chongqing Tongliang Long nicked a narrow win over Shaanxi Union 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chongqing Tongliang Long as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chongqing Tongliang Long had 58% of the ball to Shaanxi Union's 42%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 0.85 to 0.28.

What was the final score of Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shaanxi Union?

Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-1 Shaanxi Union in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shaanxi Union?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Chongqing Tongliang Long 49%, draw 25%, Shaanxi Union 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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