Dukla Prag 1-2 Banik Ostrava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 12 Apr 2025

Dukla Prag
1-2 HT 1-1
Banik Ostrava
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Czech Republic - Czech Liga – 2024/2025

Dukla Prag vs Banik Ostrava Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.87
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
44%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.26
6+ Goals
9%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 27% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
13%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+2.3pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.6pp
44%
Away Win
54%
-9.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dukla Prag v Banik Ostrava — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dukla Prag EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Banik Ostrava EU Bookmakers 58%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.98/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.04
-9% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -16%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
237 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 83%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.1
17.2 Crosses 17.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Dukla Prag vs Banik Ostrava Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dukla Prag
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Banik Ostrava
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
304 Passes 451
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
6 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
09.11.2024 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 6-0 HT 3-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
08.02.2019 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 1-1 HT 1-1 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
25.08.2018 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 2-0 HT 2-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
17.03.2018 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 1-2 HT 0-1 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
15.09.2017 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 2-0 HT 1-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
06.03.2016 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 1-2 HT 1-2 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK

Dukla Prag 1-2 Banik Ostrava — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dukla Prag
1-2
AWAY Banik Ostrava
1.56 xG 2.54
39% Ball Possession 61%
15 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
245 Passes 450
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 41
15 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dukla Prag vs Banik Ostrava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banik Ostrava edged past Dukla Prag 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Banik Ostrava as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dukla Prag had 39% of the ball to Banik Ostrava's 61%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 1.56 to 2.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dukla Prag had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dukla Prag and 1.83 for Banik Ostrava.

What was the final score of Dukla Prag vs Banik Ostrava?

Dukla Prag 1-2 Banik Ostrava in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dukla Prag vs Banik Ostrava?

Before kick-off our model rated an Banik Ostrava win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dukla Prag 24%, draw 31%, Banik Ostrava 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Banik Ostrava) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Banik Ostrava) ✗ Under 2.5
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