Umea FC 2-2 Östersunds FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 12 Apr 2025

Umea FC
2-2 HT 1-1
Östersunds FK
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2026

Umea FC vs Östersunds FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.63
6+ Goals
10%
15.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 29% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.48
1/2
8%
32.0
1/X
10%
13.0
X/1
10%
5.36
X/2
11%
6.2
X/X
15%
4.45
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
17%
4.36
2/X
5%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-5.9pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Umea FC v Östersunds FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umea FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Östersunds FK EU Bookmakers 36%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -16%
1.31/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.46
-11% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.6
POST-MATCH Umea FC vs Östersunds FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umea FC and Östersunds FK couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Umea FC vs Östersunds FK?

Umea FC 2-2 Östersunds FK in the Sweden - Superettan on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umea FC vs Östersunds FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Östersunds FK win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Umea FC 34%, draw 30%, Östersunds FK 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Östersunds FK) ✗ Under 2.5
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