Croydon Kings 5-3 Campbelltown City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - NPL South, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.94
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
53%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
30%
-5.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.0pp
53%
Away Win
45%
+8.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.1pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Croydon Kings EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Campbelltown City EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +95% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Croydon Kings
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Campbelltown City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.06.2024 Campbelltown City Campbelltown City 1-1 HT 0-0 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
02.03.2024 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 1-0 HT 0-0 Campbelltown City Campbelltown City AVNPL
17.06.2023 Campbelltown City Campbelltown City 3-1 HT 1-1 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVSA
01.04.2023 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 0-2 HT 0-1 Campbelltown City Campbelltown City AVNPL
06.08.2022 Campbelltown City Campbelltown City 2-1 HT 1-1 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
13.05.2022 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 1-2 HT 1-2 Campbelltown City Campbelltown City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Croydon Kings vs Campbelltown City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Croydon Kings got the better of Campbelltown City 5-3. Half-time: 4-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Campbelltown City at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Campbelltown City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Croydon Kings and 1.67 for Campbelltown City.

What was the final score of Croydon Kings vs Campbelltown City?

Croydon Kings 5-3 Campbelltown City in the Australia - NPL South on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Croydon Kings vs Campbelltown City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Campbelltown City win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Croydon Kings 25%, draw 22%, Campbelltown City 53%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Campbelltown City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Campbelltown City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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