Maghreb Fes 1-0 FUS Rabat — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
35%
3.04
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.48
Over
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.13
No
49%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.11
2-3
38%
1.77
4-5
23%
5.43
6+
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
12%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.0pp
35%
Draw
29%
+5.3pp
36%
Away Win
42%
-6.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
43%
+8.7pp
49%
BTTS No
57%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maghreb Fes EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY FUS Rabat EU Bookmakers 46%
-1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
0.81/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.80
-22% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -2%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
227 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maghreb Fes
0W-5D-1L
AWAY FUS Rabat
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2024 FUS Rabat FUS Rabat 1-1 HT 0-1 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
10.02.2024 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes 1-2 HT 1-1 FUS Rabat FUS Rabat FAS
03.09.2023 FUS Rabat FUS Rabat 0-0 HT 0-0 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
03.03.2023 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes 0-0 HT 0-0 FUS Rabat FUS Rabat FAS
02.10.2022 FUS Rabat FUS Rabat 0-0 HT 0-0 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
19.02.2022 FUS Rabat FUS Rabat 1-1 HT 1-1 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maghreb Fes
1-0
AWAY FUS Rabat
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Maghreb Fes vs FUS Rabat
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maghreb Fes nicked a narrow win over FUS Rabat 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 35% / 36% — and on the day Maghreb Fes made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Maghreb Fes had 61% of the ball to FUS Rabat's 39%, shots finished 13-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FUS Rabat led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Maghreb Fes and 0.67 for FUS Rabat.

What was the final score of Maghreb Fes vs FUS Rabat?

Maghreb Fes 1-0 FUS Rabat in the Morocco - League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maghreb Fes vs FUS Rabat?

Before kick-off our model rated an FUS Rabat win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Maghreb Fes 29%, draw 35%, FUS Rabat 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FUS Rabat), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FUS Rabat) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FAS More Morocco - League
12 Apr 2025
22:00 Wydad Casablanca vs Raja Casablanca Analysis →