Rouen 2-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.54
Over
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.28
2-3
37%
1.75
4-5
19%
4.88
6+
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.29
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.2
X/1
15%
4.76
X/2
6%
6.56
X/X
15%
3.82
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
16%
5.36
2/X
9%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.5pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.3pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rouen EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bourg en Bresse 01 EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.20/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.03
-7% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rouen
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bourg en Bresse 01
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
4 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.11.2024 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 0-1 HT 0-1 Rouen Rouen FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rouen
2-1
AWAY Bourg en Bresse 01
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rouen vs Bourg en Bresse 01
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rouen edged past Bourg en Bresse 01 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 29% — and on the day Rouen made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rouen had 44% of the ball to Bourg en Bresse 01's 56%, shots finished 10-7.

What was the final score of Rouen vs Bourg en Bresse 01?

Rouen 2-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 in the France - National League 1 on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rouen vs Bourg en Bresse 01?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rouen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rouen 40%, draw 32%, Bourg en Bresse 01 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rouen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rouen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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