Petrocub 3-1 Sparta Selemet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.16
Draw
21%
7.13
Away
16%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
82%
-18.9pp
20%
Draw
12%
+8.9pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+10.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.0pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Petrocub EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Selemet EU Bookmakers 8%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
3.17/0.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/2.88
+28% / +137% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -19%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
497 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Petrocub
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Sparta Selemet
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 3
03.12.2023 Sparta Selemet 0-7 HT 0-2 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
30.09.2023 Petrocub Petrocub 3-2 HT 2-0 Sparta Selemet MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Petrocub
3-1
AWAY Sparta Selemet
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Petrocub vs Sparta Selemet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Petrocub got the better of Sparta Selemet 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Petrocub as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Petrocub had 53% of the ball to Sparta Selemet's 47%, shots finished 16-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Petrocub had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals for Petrocub and 1.00 for Sparta Selemet.

What was the final score of Petrocub vs Sparta Selemet?

Petrocub 3-1 Sparta Selemet in the Moldova - National League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Petrocub vs Sparta Selemet?

Before kick-off our model rated a Petrocub win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Petrocub 63%, draw 20%, Sparta Selemet 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Petrocub), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Petrocub) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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