12/04/2025
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Auckland City vs Hekari United Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
42%
4-5
19%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Auckland City win — 66% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
61%
17%
Draw
24%
17%
Away Win
16%
48%
Under 2.5
48%
52%
Over 2.5
52%
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
59%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Auckland City v Hekari United — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Auckland City
EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY
Hekari United
EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
56%
Ball Possession
44%
13
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
452 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
255 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Auckland City vs Hekari United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Auckland City beat Hekari United 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Auckland City as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Auckland City vs Hekari United?
Auckland City 2-0 Hekari United in the OFCSL on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Auckland City vs Hekari United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Auckland City win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Auckland City 66%, draw 17%, Hekari United 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auckland City), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Auckland City)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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