Juan Pablo II College 1-0 Alianza Atletico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 12 Apr 2025

Juan Pablo II College
1-0 HT 1-0
Alianza Atletico
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Peru - Premier League – 2025

Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Atletico Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Juan Pablo II College v Alianza Atletico — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juan Pablo II College EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 42%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.98/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.65
+57% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 71%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
17.4 Crosses 16.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.9

Juan Pablo II College 1-0 Alianza Atletico — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juan Pablo II College
1-0
AWAY Alianza Atletico
1.32 xG 1.30
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
127 Passes 363
58% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Atletico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juan Pablo II College edged past Alianza Atletico 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Juan Pablo II College made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Juan Pablo II College had 32% of the ball to Alianza Atletico's 68%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.32 to 1.30.

What was the final score of Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Atletico?

Juan Pablo II College 1-0 Alianza Atletico in the Peru - Premier League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Atletico?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Juan Pablo II College 37%, draw 25%, Alianza Atletico 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alianza Atletico) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza Atletico) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →