Trencin 2-2 Ruzomberok — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.5
6+ Goals
11%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 28% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trencin EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruzomberok EU Bookmakers 33%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
1.49/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.44
+5% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
315 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 71%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
19.4 Crosses 20.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trencin
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Ruzomberok
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.71 xG 1.28
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
378 Passes 200
82% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Trencin Trencin 0-0 HT 0-0 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok SLVK
11.08.2024 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok 1-0 HT 1-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
24.11.2023 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok 1-0 HT 1-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
19.08.2023 Trencin Trencin 4-1 HT 4-0 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok SLVK
21.04.2023 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok 4-1 HT 2-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
10.03.2023 Trencin Trencin 0-3 HT 0-1 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trencin
2-2
AWAY Ruzomberok
0.38 xG 0.96
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
325 Passes 181
83% Pass Accuracy 67%
12 Box Touches 25
25 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Trencin vs Ruzomberok
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trencin and Ruzomberok shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Trencin at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Trencin had 60% of the ball to Ruzomberok's 40%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.38 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ruzomberok led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Trencin and 1.67 for Ruzomberok.

What was the final score of Trencin vs Ruzomberok?

Trencin 2-2 Ruzomberok in the Slovakia Super League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trencin vs Ruzomberok?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trencin win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Trencin 43%, draw 27%, Ruzomberok 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Trencin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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