Obolon Kyiv 1-0 Chornomorets Odessa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.06
No
62%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-7.0pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.2pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Obolon Kyiv EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 30%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +18%
1.00/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.22
-21% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Obolon Kyiv
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2024 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 1-0 HT 0-0 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv UKR
26.02.2024 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv 1-1 HT 0-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
12.08.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 2-0 HT 1-0 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv UKR
POST-MATCH Obolon Kyiv vs Chornomorets Odessa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Obolon Kyiv nicked a narrow win over Chornomorets Odessa 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and on the day Obolon Kyiv made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chornomorets Odessa led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Obolon Kyiv and 1.33 for Chornomorets Odessa.

What was the final score of Obolon Kyiv vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Obolon Kyiv 1-0 Chornomorets Odessa in the Ukraine - Premier League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Obolon Kyiv vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Obolon Kyiv win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Obolon Kyiv 37%, draw 31%, Chornomorets Odessa 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Obolon Kyiv), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Obolon Kyiv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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