Progreso vs Plaza Colonia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Progreso v Plaza Colonia — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs Plaza Colonia Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Progreso
URU
1-2
HT 0-2
Plaza Colonia
URU
0-1
HT 0-1
Progreso
URU
2-2
HT 1-1
Plaza Colonia
URU
0-1
HT 0-0
Progreso
URU
Progreso 1-1 Plaza Colonia — Actual Match Statistics
Progreso and Plaza Colonia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Progreso had 54% of the ball to Plaza Colonia's 46%, shots finished 22-14.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Progreso and 1.20 for Plaza Colonia.
What was the final score of Progreso vs Plaza Colonia?
Progreso 1-1 Plaza Colonia in the Uruguay - Premier League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Progreso vs Plaza Colonia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Plaza Colonia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Progreso 33%, draw 27%, Plaza Colonia 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Plaza Colonia), BTTS No went the other way.