Valmiera / BSS 4-0 Smiltene — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2026

Valmiera / BSS
4-0 HT 1-0
Smiltene
📅12/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2026

Valmiera / BSS vs Smiltene Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.29
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
12%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.76
No
40%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
73%
-3.0pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.2pp
12%
Away Win
11%
+1.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
53%
+7.7pp
40%
BTTS No
47%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Valmiera / BSS v Smiltene — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valmiera / BSS EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Smiltene EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +20%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
430 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Valmiera / BSS vs Smiltene
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valmiera / BSS ran out comfortable winners over Smiltene 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Valmiera / BSS as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

What was the final score of Valmiera / BSS vs Smiltene?

Valmiera / BSS 4-0 Smiltene in the Latvia - 1st Division on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valmiera / BSS vs Smiltene?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valmiera / BSS win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Valmiera / BSS 70%, draw 18%, Smiltene 12%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valmiera / BSS), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valmiera / BSS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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