MKE Ankaragücü 1-2 İnegölspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
18%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.7pp
18%
Away Win
20%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY İnegölspor EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.00/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.79
-42% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
1W-3D-2L
AWAY İnegölspor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
05.02.2017 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 3-0 HT 1-0 İnegölspor İnegölspor S2-K
25.09.2016 İnegölspor İnegölspor 1-0 HT 0-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü S2-K
19.03.2016 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 0-0 HT 0-0 İnegölspor İnegölspor S2-K
07.11.2015 İnegölspor İnegölspor 1-1 HT 0-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü S2-K
24.01.2015 İnegölspor İnegölspor 1-0 HT 0-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü S2-K
07.09.2014 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 0-0 HT 0-0 İnegölspor İnegölspor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
1-2
AWAY İnegölspor
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 9
POST-MATCH MKE Ankaragücü vs İnegölspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İnegölspor squeezed past MKE Ankaragücü 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was MKE Ankaragücü at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, MKE Ankaragücü had 54% of the ball to İnegölspor's 46%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, İnegölspor led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for MKE Ankaragücü and 0.50 for İnegölspor.

What was the final score of MKE Ankaragücü vs İnegölspor?

MKE Ankaragücü 1-2 İnegölspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MKE Ankaragücü vs İnegölspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a MKE Ankaragücü win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split MKE Ankaragücü 53%, draw 29%, İnegölspor 18%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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