Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0-1 Zhejiang G. FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.04
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
46%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.63
Over 2.5
53%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
6.36
2-3 Goals
34%
2.11
4-5 Goals
27%
2.53
6+ Goals
14%
5.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
6.79
1/2
4%
19.6
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
16%
10.75
X/2
8%
4.43
X/X
11%
6.53
2/1
3%
34.5
2/2
34%
2.0
2/X
11%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+4.3pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.7pp
46%
Away Win
57%
-10.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
34%
+12.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
66%
-12.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.0pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC EU Bookmakers 61%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+10% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
262 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 81%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
1.40 xG 1.89
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
239 Passes 431
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 6-1 HT 3-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
02.07.2023 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 2-1 HT 2-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİNSL
13.11.2022 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 3-3 HT 2-1 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
24.08.2022 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1-1 HT 0-1 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions
0-1
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC
0.36 xG 1.65
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 32
0 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
164 Passes 479
64% Pass Accuracy 89%
19 Box Touches 33
11 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Zhejiang G. FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zhejiang G. FC edged past Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zhejiang G. FC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cangzhou Mighty Lions had 33% of the ball to Zhejiang G. FC's 67%, shots finished 9-32, expected goals 0.36 to 1.65 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Zhejiang G. FC's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Cangzhou Mighty Lions and 2.75 for Zhejiang G. FC.

What was the final score of Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Zhejiang G. FC?

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0-1 Zhejiang G. FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Zhejiang G. FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zhejiang G. FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cangzhou Mighty Lions 26%, draw 29%, Zhejiang G. FC 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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