Tenerife (K) 0-1 Real Sociedad (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.0
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
46%
-12.9pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.1pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tenerife (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
1.13/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.41
+141% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -60%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.0
21.4 Crosses 29.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tenerife (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Real Sociedad (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
2.43 xG 1.93
39% Ball Possession 61%
20 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
261 Passes 485
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Box Touches 20
32 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.01.2024 Real Sociedad (K) Real Sociedad (K) 3-3 HT 2-1 Tenerife (K) Tenerife (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tenerife (K)
0-1
AWAY Real Sociedad (K)
1.40 xG 1.25
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
248 Passes 306
64% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tenerife (K) vs Real Sociedad (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad (K) squeezed past Tenerife (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Real Sociedad (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tenerife (K) had 47% of the ball to Real Sociedad (K)'s 53%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.40 to 1.25.

What was the final score of Tenerife (K) vs Real Sociedad (K)?

Tenerife (K) 0-1 Real Sociedad (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tenerife (K) vs Real Sociedad (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tenerife (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Tenerife (K) 33%, draw 33%, Real Sociedad (K) 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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