Sturm Graz II 1-4 Lafnitz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 12 May 2024

Sturm Graz II
1-4 HT 1-3
Lafnitz
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Sturm Graz II vs Lafnitz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.98
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.33
No
40%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
7.31
2-3 Goals
37%
2.23
4-5 Goals
28%
2.44
6+ Goals
13%
4.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.89
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
19.95
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
9%
6.95
X/2
10%
5.36
X/X
9%
6.87
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
23%
2.74
2/X
7%
13.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.95 — our 11% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
33%
-0.2pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.5pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-0.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
71%
-11.2pp
40%
BTTS No
29%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sturm Graz II v Lafnitz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Lafnitz EU Bookmakers 49%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.53/2.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.32
+30% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
258 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 71%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
14.7 Crosses 22.0
3.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Sturm Graz II vs Lafnitz Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz II
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Lafnitz
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.75
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.10.2023 Lafnitz Lafnitz 5-2 HT 4-1 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
11.11.2022 Lafnitz Lafnitz 5-1 HT 2-0 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
31.07.2022 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 2-0 HT 2-0 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
07.02.2018 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 3-5 HT 0-3 Lafnitz Lafnitz HAZ

Sturm Graz II 1-4 Lafnitz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz II
1-4
AWAY Lafnitz
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz II vs Lafnitz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lafnitz ran out comfortable winners over Sturm Graz II 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lafnitz as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sturm Graz II had 44% of the ball to Lafnitz's 56%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lafnitz led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sturm Graz II and 3.75 for Lafnitz.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz II vs Lafnitz?

Sturm Graz II 1-4 Lafnitz in the Austria - 1st Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz II vs Lafnitz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lafnitz win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz II 33%, draw 23%, Lafnitz 44%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lafnitz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lafnitz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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