PFC Beroe 2-0 OFK Pirin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
47%
+2.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY OFK Pirin EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.17/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.84
+5% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PFC Beroe
2W-2D-0L
AWAY OFK Pirin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-0 HT 0-0 OFK Pirin OFK Pirin BUL1
14.07.2023 OFK Pirin OFK Pirin 1-2 HT 1-1 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
31.05.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 1-1 HT 1-0 OFK Pirin OFK Pirin BUL1
30.04.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 1-0 HT 1-0 OFK Pirin OFK Pirin BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PFC Beroe
2-0
AWAY OFK Pirin
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PFC Beroe vs OFK Pirin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PFC Beroe saw off OFK Pirin 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had PFC Beroe as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, PFC Beroe had 57% of the ball to OFK Pirin's 43%, shots finished 15-5.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, PFC Beroe had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for PFC Beroe and 0.50 for OFK Pirin.

What was the final score of PFC Beroe vs OFK Pirin?

PFC Beroe 2-0 OFK Pirin in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PFC Beroe vs OFK Pirin?

Before kick-off our model rated a PFC Beroe win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split PFC Beroe 50%, draw 26%, OFK Pirin 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PFC Beroe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PFC Beroe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
12 May 2024
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