FC Fredericia 0-1 Kolding IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
47%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.1
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
21.45
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
11%
7.85
X/2
15%
4.72
X/X
6%
5.63
2/1
5%
32.5
2/2
25%
2.52
2/X
8%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.45 — our 7% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.5pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.5pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-1.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.3pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Fredericia EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolding IF EU Bookmakers 52%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.25/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/0.69
+29% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +64%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.1
14.4 Crosses 21.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Fredericia
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Kolding IF
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.95 xG 2.60
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
376 Passes 246
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 36
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2024 Kolding IF Kolding IF 4-0 HT 1-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
05.11.2023 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 1-0 HT 1-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
22.09.2023 Kolding IF Kolding IF 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
20.11.2020 Kolding IF Kolding IF 1-2 HT 0-2 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
13.09.2020 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 2-1 HT 0-1 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
14.07.2020 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 2-0 HT 2-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Fredericia
0-1
AWAY Kolding IF
1.18 xG 2.84
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 3
387 Passes 297
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 32
9 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Fredericia vs Kolding IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolding IF squeezed past FC Fredericia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kolding IF as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Fredericia had 56% of the ball to Kolding IF's 44%, shots finished 12-21, expected goals 1.18 to 2.84 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kolding IF's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Fredericia had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Fredericia and 1.17 for Kolding IF.

What was the final score of FC Fredericia vs Kolding IF?

FC Fredericia 0-1 Kolding IF in the Denmark 1st Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Fredericia vs Kolding IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kolding IF win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FC Fredericia 32%, draw 21%, Kolding IF 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kolding IF) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kolding IF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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