El Nacional vs Independiente Del Valle Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Nacional v Independiente Del Valle — Team-Based Signals
El Nacional vs Independiente Del Valle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Independiente Del Valle
EKV1
3-4
HT 1-2
El Nacional
EKV1
0-2
HT 0-2
Independiente Del Valle
EKVK
2-0
HT 2-0
El Nacional
EKV1
2-4
HT 1-3
Independiente Del Valle
EKV1
4-2
HT 2-0
Independiente Del Valle
EKV1
El Nacional 1-2 Independiente Del Valle — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Del Valle edged past El Nacional 2-1 away from home in the Ecuador - Premier on 12 May 2024. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, El Nacional had 32% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 68%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.71 to 2.05.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for El Nacional and 2.33 for Independiente Del Valle.
What was the final score of El Nacional vs Independiente Del Valle?
El Nacional 1-2 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Premier on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Nacional vs Independiente Del Valle?
Before kick-off our model rated a El Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split El Nacional 34%, draw 32%, Independiente Del Valle 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.