12/05/2024
·
13:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-3
2nd Score
1-2
Vaajakoski vs OLS Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
3%
X/2
11%
X/X
4%
2/1
3%
2/2
43%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
17%
19%
Draw
21%
58%
Away Win
63%
47%
Under 2.5
40%
53%
Over 2.5
60%
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
47%
BTTS No
45%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vaajakoski v OLS — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Vaajakoski
EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY
OLS
EU Bookmakers 67%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
41%
Ball Possession
59%
10
Total Shots
16
5
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
6
281 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
427 · 83%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Vaajakoski vs OLS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
OLS saw off Vaajakoski 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had OLS as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
What was the final score of Vaajakoski vs OLS?
Vaajakoski 1-3 OLS in the FİN3 on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vaajakoski vs OLS?
Before kick-off our model rated an OLS win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Vaajakoski 22%, draw 19%, OLS 58%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (OLS), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (OLS)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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12 May 2024