Baroka 1-1 JDR Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.44
Over 2.5
38%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.2pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.8pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
66%
-3.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
34%
+3.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.2pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baroka EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY JDR Stars EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.86/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/0.78
+53% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +52%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baroka
0W-0D-3L
AWAY JDR Stars
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3 Corners 12
16.09.2023 JDR Stars JDR Stars 1-0 HT 1-0 Baroka Baroka GAF1
18.03.2023 Baroka Baroka 0-1 HT 0-1 JDR Stars JDR Stars GAF1
17.01.2023 JDR Stars JDR Stars 1-0 HT 0-0 Baroka Baroka GAF1
POST-MATCH Baroka vs JDR Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baroka and JDR Stars couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, JDR Stars led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Baroka and 1.00 for JDR Stars.

What was the final score of Baroka vs JDR Stars?

Baroka 1-1 JDR Stars in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baroka vs JDR Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baroka win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Baroka 39%, draw 32%, JDR Stars 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Baroka), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baroka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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