AmaZulu 1-1 Kaizer Chiefs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.45
Over 2.5
32%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
15%
6.16
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.1pp
33%
Draw
33%
+0.1pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.0pp
68%
Under 2.5
65%
+3.0pp
32%
Over 2.5
35%
-3.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.1pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AmaZulu EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaizer Chiefs EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.12/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.98
+2% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 75%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
18.7 Crosses 19.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AmaZulu
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Kaizer Chiefs
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.76 xG 1.41
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
254 Passes 298
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 0-1 HT 0-0 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAF8K
26.08.2023 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 3-0 HT 1-0 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAFPSL
13.01.2023 AmaZulu AmaZulu 4-0 HT 3-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
23.10.2022 AmaZulu AmaZulu 0-0 HT 0-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAF8K
02.10.2022 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 1-1 HT 0-1 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAF8K
03.09.2022 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 0-0 HT 0-0 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AmaZulu
1-1
AWAY Kaizer Chiefs
0.65 xG 0.97
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
340 Passes 334
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AmaZulu vs Kaizer Chiefs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AmaZulu and Kaizer Chiefs couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 33% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, AmaZulu had 52% of the ball to Kaizer Chiefs's 48%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.65 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AmaZulu had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AmaZulu and 0.67 for Kaizer Chiefs.

What was the final score of AmaZulu vs Kaizer Chiefs?

AmaZulu 1-1 Kaizer Chiefs in the South Afrika - Premier League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AmaZulu vs Kaizer Chiefs?

Before kick-off our model rated a AmaZulu win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split AmaZulu 36%, draw 33%, Kaizer Chiefs 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AmaZulu), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AmaZulu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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