Hwaseong 1-0 Mokpo City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mokpo City EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.36/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.47
-19% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hwaseong
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Mokpo City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
8 Corners 3
20.08.2023 Hwaseong Hwaseong 0-4 HT 0-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
22.04.2023 Mokpo City Mokpo City 1-2 HT 1-1 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
26.06.2022 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-0 HT 1-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
22.06.2022 Mokpo City Mokpo City 0-1 HT 0-1 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
05.09.2021 Hwaseong Hwaseong 2-3 HT 0-2 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
02.05.2021 Mokpo City Mokpo City 1-0 HT 1-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
POST-MATCH Hwaseong vs Mokpo City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hwaseong nicked a narrow win over Mokpo City 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hwaseong as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hwaseong and 1.50 for Mokpo City.

What was the final score of Hwaseong vs Mokpo City?

Hwaseong 1-0 Mokpo City in the South Kore - K3 League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hwaseong vs Mokpo City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hwaseong win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hwaseong 52%, draw 26%, Mokpo City 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hwaseong) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hwaseong) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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