Jeonbuk Motors 2-3 Suwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.09
6+ Goals
9%
9.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.04 — our 28% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.63
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
13%
4.56
X/2
7%
7.34
X/X
16%
5.32
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
12%
5.08
2/X
6%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.8pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeonbuk Motors EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon City EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +15%
1.66/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.33
+9% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
397 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
19.3 Crosses 12.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeonbuk Motors
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Suwon City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.19 xG 0.62
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
422 Passes 342
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 1-1 HT 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
16.07.2023 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 1-0 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
21.05.2023 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 3-1 HT 1-1 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
15.04.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 1-0 HT 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
10.08.2022 Suwon City Suwon City 0-1 HT 0-1 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
22.05.2022 Suwon City Suwon City 0-1 HT 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeonbuk Motors
2-3
AWAY Suwon City
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 13
3 Corners 9
340 Passes 452
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jeonbuk Motors vs Suwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon City nicked a narrow win over Jeonbuk Motors 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Jeonbuk Motors at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Jeonbuk Motors had 40% of the ball to Suwon City's 60%, shots finished 13-25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeonbuk Motors had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Jeonbuk Motors and 0.50 for Suwon City.

What was the final score of Jeonbuk Motors vs Suwon City?

Jeonbuk Motors 2-3 Suwon City in the South Kore - K League Classic on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeonbuk Motors vs Suwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeonbuk Motors win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Jeonbuk Motors 44%, draw 28%, Suwon City 28%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jeonbuk Motors), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jeonbuk Motors) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOK More South Kore - K League Classic
12 May 2024
10:30 Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United Analysis →
10:30 Ulsan Hyundai vs Gimcheon Sangmu Analysis →