Jarun 1-2 Zrinski Jurjevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.13
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
46%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.16
No
65%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
3%
2/2
28%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+5.6pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.0pp
46%
Away Win
56%
-10.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.2pp
35%
BTTS Yes
42%
-6.6pp
65%
BTTS No
58%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jarun EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Zrinski Jurjevac EU Bookmakers 61%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.21
+150% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
193 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jarun
1-2
AWAY Zrinski Jurjevac
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jarun vs Zrinski Jurjevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zrinski Jurjevac edged past Jarun 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zrinski Jurjevac as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jarun had 44% of the ball to Zrinski Jurjevac's 56%, shots finished 5-10.

What was the final score of Jarun vs Zrinski Jurjevac?

Jarun 1-2 Zrinski Jurjevac in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jarun vs Zrinski Jurjevac?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zrinski Jurjevac win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Jarun 26%, draw 28%, Zrinski Jurjevac 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zrinski Jurjevac) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zrinski Jurjevac) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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