Hong Kong FC 1-0 North District — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
52%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-0.7pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.9pp
52%
Away Win
47%
+4.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.0pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hong Kong FC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY North District EU Bookmakers 51%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-10% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hong Kong FC
0W-1D-0L
AWAY North District
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.12.2023 North District North District 2-2 HT 0-1 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hong Kong FC
1-0
AWAY North District
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hong Kong FC vs North District
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hong Kong FC edged past North District 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was North District at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hong Kong FC had 50% of the ball to North District's 50%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Hong Kong FC vs North District?

Hong Kong FC 1-0 North District in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hong Kong FC vs North District?

Before kick-off our model rated an North District win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hong Kong FC 28%, draw 20%, North District 52%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (North District) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →