Kashima Antlers 3-3 Tokyo Verdy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒07:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.54
6+ Goals
9%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.48
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
17%
4.06
X/2
9%
8.66
X/X
15%
4.02
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
11%
7.26
2/X
7%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+4.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.9pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 25%
+6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.57/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.42
+5% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +46%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
341 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
21.1 Crosses 16.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashima Antlers
3-3
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
1.54 xG 2.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
246 Passes 302
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 18
8 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kashima Antlers vs Tokyo Verdy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers and Tokyo Verdy couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Kashima Antlers at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kashima Antlers had 47% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy's 53%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 1.54 to 2.17.

What was the final score of Kashima Antlers vs Tokyo Verdy?

Kashima Antlers 3-3 Tokyo Verdy in the Japan - J1 League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashima Antlers vs Tokyo Verdy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kashima Antlers 46%, draw 28%, Tokyo Verdy 27%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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