Rezekne / BJSS 1-2 Progress / AFA Olaine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 12 May 2024

Rezekne / BJSS
1-2 HT 1-0
Progress / AFA Olaine
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2024

Rezekne / BJSS vs Progress / AFA Olaine Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.0pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rezekne / BJSS v Progress / AFA Olaine — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rezekne / BJSS EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Progress / AFA Olaine EU Bookmakers 38%
-64% / -64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.04
-44% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Rezekne / BJSS vs Progress / AFA Olaine Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rezekne / BJSS
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Progress / AFA Olaine
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
27.05.2023 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS 2-0 HT 2-0 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine LET1
POST-MATCH Rezekne / BJSS vs Progress / AFA Olaine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Progress / AFA Olaine squeezed past Rezekne / BJSS 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Progress / AFA Olaine found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Rezekne / BJSS vs Progress / AFA Olaine?

Rezekne / BJSS 1-2 Progress / AFA Olaine in the Latvia - 1st Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rezekne / BJSS vs Progress / AFA Olaine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rezekne / BJSS win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rezekne / BJSS 38%, draw 29%, Progress / AFA Olaine 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rezekne / BJSS) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rezekne / BJSS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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