Polonia Warszawa 0-2 Gornik Leczna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.17
6+ Goals
8%
20.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.9pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.7pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonia Warszawa EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 38%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.12/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.83
-14% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +49%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
262 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonia Warszawa
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Gornik Leczna
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
11.11.2023 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 0-0 HT 0-0 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonia Warszawa
0-2
AWAY Gornik Leczna
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Polonia Warszawa vs Gornik Leczna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Leczna saw off Polonia Warszawa 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Polonia Warszawa at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Polonia Warszawa had 55% of the ball to Gornik Leczna's 45%, shots finished 13-18.

What was the final score of Polonia Warszawa vs Gornik Leczna?

Polonia Warszawa 0-2 Gornik Leczna in the Poland - 1st Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonia Warszawa vs Gornik Leczna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonia Warszawa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Polonia Warszawa 41%, draw 26%, Gornik Leczna 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Polonia Warszawa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Polonia Warszawa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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