U Craiova 1948 1-3 Hermannstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+2.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME U Craiova 1948 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Hermannstadt EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.60/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.04
+17% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME U Craiova 1948
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Hermannstadt
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2024 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 1-0 HT 0-0 U Craiova 1948 U Craiova 1948 ROM
06.10.2023 U Craiova 1948 U Craiova 1948 1-1 HT 1-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
08.05.2023 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 0-0 HT 0-0 U Craiova 1948 U Craiova 1948 ROM
12.03.2023 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 1-0 HT 0-0 U Craiova 1948 U Craiova 1948 ROM
22.10.2022 U Craiova 1948 U Craiova 1948 1-1 HT 0-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME U Craiova 1948
1-3
AWAY Hermannstadt
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH U Craiova 1948 vs Hermannstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hermannstadt saw off U Craiova 1948 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was U Craiova 1948 at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, U Craiova 1948 had 58% of the ball to Hermannstadt's 42%, shots finished 15-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hermannstadt led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for U Craiova 1948 and 0.80 for Hermannstadt.

What was the final score of U Craiova 1948 vs Hermannstadt?

U Craiova 1948 1-3 Hermannstadt in the Romania - 1st Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for U Craiova 1948 vs Hermannstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a U Craiova 1948 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split U Craiova 1948 47%, draw 24%, Hermannstadt 28%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (U Craiova 1948)
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