Dunajska Streda 1-0 Spartak Trnava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.93
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.98
6+ Goals
9%
18.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 31% vs market 28.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.2pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunajska Streda EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Trnava EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -14%
1.29/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.14
+4% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
16.8 Crosses 18.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunajska Streda
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Spartak Trnava
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.88 xG 1.14
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
379 Passes 273
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 3-0 HT 1-0 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda SLVK
18.02.2024 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-2 HT 0-1 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda SLVK
01.10.2023 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 0-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
23.04.2023 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-1 HT 1-0 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda SLVK
19.03.2023 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 3-1 HT 1-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
05.11.2022 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 1-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dunajska Streda
1-0
AWAY Spartak Trnava
1.46 xG 0.71
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
277 Passes 310
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dunajska Streda vs Spartak Trnava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunajska Streda squeezed past Spartak Trnava 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dunajska Streda as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Dunajska Streda had 46% of the ball to Spartak Trnava's 54%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 1.46 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dunajska Streda had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dunajska Streda and 1.17 for Spartak Trnava.

What was the final score of Dunajska Streda vs Spartak Trnava?

Dunajska Streda 1-0 Spartak Trnava in the Slovakia Super League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunajska Streda vs Spartak Trnava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunajska Streda win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Dunajska Streda 45%, draw 26%, Spartak Trnava 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dunajska Streda), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dunajska Streda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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