Gorica 1-3 Beltinci — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
51%
-11.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.5pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gorica EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Beltinci EU Bookmakers 28%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +3%
1.55/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.69
+2% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
306 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gorica
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Beltinci
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
24.04.2024 Gorica Gorica 1-1 HT 0-1 Beltinci Beltinci SLVNK
21.10.2023 Beltinci Beltinci 1-0 HT 1-0 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
09.04.2022 Beltinci Beltinci 0-4 HT 0-0 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gorica
1-3
AWAY Beltinci
73% Ball Possession 27%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gorica vs Beltinci
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beltinci got the better of Gorica 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Beltinci made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gorica had 73% of the ball to Beltinci's 27%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gorica and 0.67 for Beltinci.

What was the final score of Gorica vs Beltinci?

Gorica 1-3 Beltinci in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gorica vs Beltinci?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gorica 39%, draw 28%, Beltinci 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gorica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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