Thanh Hoa 3-2 Binh Duong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-5.8pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thanh Hoa EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Binh Duong EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.43/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.20
+2% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thanh Hoa
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Binh Duong
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
22.12.2023 Binh Duong Binh Duong 1-0 HT 0-0 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
01.06.2023 Binh Duong Binh Duong 1-1 HT 1-0 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
09.11.2022 Binh Duong Binh Duong 4-2 HT 0-1 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
01.03.2022 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 0-1 HT 0-1 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
16.01.2021 Binh Duong Binh Duong 1-0 HT 1-0 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
12.06.2014 Binh Duong Binh Duong 2-0 HT 2-0 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
POST-MATCH Thanh Hoa vs Binh Duong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thanh Hoa squeezed past Binh Duong 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Thanh Hoa as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Binh Duong led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Thanh Hoa and 1.67 for Binh Duong.

What was the final score of Thanh Hoa vs Binh Duong?

Thanh Hoa 3-2 Binh Duong in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thanh Hoa vs Binh Duong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thanh Hoa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Thanh Hoa 41%, draw 30%, Binh Duong 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thanh Hoa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Thanh Hoa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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