CD Everton 2-1 U. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 12 May 2025

📅12/05/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-9.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Everton EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 30%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
0.88/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.38/0.43
+14% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
277 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 75%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
27.0 Crosses 7.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Everton
2W-2D-2L
AWAY U. Catolica
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.15 xG 1.43
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
266 Passes 288
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.04.2025 U. Catolica 6-0 HT 3-0 CD Everton CD Everton ŞİL
11.08.2024 CD Everton CD Everton 0-0 HT 0-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
12.03.2024 U. Catolica 2-4 HT 1-2 CD Everton CD Everton ŞİL
10.08.2023 U. Catolica 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Everton CD Everton ŞİLİK
09.07.2023 U. Catolica 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Everton CD Everton ŞİL
22.01.2023 CD Everton CD Everton 0-3 HT 0-2 U. Catolica ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Everton
2-1
AWAY U. Catolica
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CD Everton vs U. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Everton edged past U. Catolica 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 32% — and on the day CD Everton made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, CD Everton had 51% of the ball to U. Catolica's 49%, shots finished 15-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CD Everton and 1.83 for U. Catolica.

What was the final score of CD Everton vs U. Catolica?

CD Everton 2-1 U. Catolica in the Chile - Cup on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Everton vs U. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Everton win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split CD Everton 38%, draw 29%, U. Catolica 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Everton), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Everton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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