Fas U20 1-0 Sierra Leone U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika U20 Uluslar Cup, 12 May 2025

📅12/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.66
Draw
35%
3.54
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.74
Over 2.5
30%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
6%
X/X
29%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
56%
-13.0pp
35%
Draw
25%
+10.1pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+3.0pp
70%
Under 2.5
54%
+16.1pp
30%
Over 2.5
46%
-16.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.7pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fas U20 EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Sierra Leone U20 EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
428 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
Crosses 13.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fas U20
1-0
AWAY Sierra Leone U20
1.71 xG 0.28
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 6
462 Passes 302
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fas U20 vs Sierra Leone U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fas U20 edged past Sierra Leone U20 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fas U20 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fas U20 had 58% of the ball to Sierra Leone U20's 42%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 1.71 to 0.28 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fas U20's control.

What was the final score of Fas U20 vs Sierra Leone U20?

Fas U20 1-0 Sierra Leone U20 in the Afrika U20 Uluslar Cup on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fas U20 vs Sierra Leone U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fas U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fas U20 43%, draw 35%, Sierra Leone U20 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fas U20), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fas U20) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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