Skeid 1-1 Lilleström — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 12 May 2025

📅12/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.91
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
59%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.43
Over 2.5
49%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.76
No
57%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
4.89
2-3 Goals
36%
1.94
4-5 Goals
21%
2.64
6+ Goals
11%
6.62
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.89 — our 32% vs market 15.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
14%
+5.0pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.6pp
59%
Away Win
67%
-8.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.4pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skeid EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Lilleström EU Bookmakers 71%
-11% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.13/2.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.52
+4% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +70%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skeid
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lilleström
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
01.08.2021 Skeid Skeid 1-2 HT 0-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Skeid
1-1
AWAY Lilleström
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Skeid vs Lilleström
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skeid and Lilleström shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Lilleström at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Skeid had 39% of the ball to Lilleström's 61%, shots finished 7-12.

What was the final score of Skeid vs Lilleström?

Skeid 1-1 Lilleström in the Norway - 1st Division on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skeid vs Lilleström?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lilleström win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Skeid 19%, draw 22%, Lilleström 59%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lilleström), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lilleström) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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