Fredrikstad II 2-6 Sarpsborg 08 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 12 May 2025

📅12/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
33%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
72%
1.32
No
28%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-1.7pp
31%
Draw
23%
+8.0pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-6.4pp
72%
BTTS Yes
72%
+0.8pp
28%
BTTS No
28%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fredrikstad II EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II EU Bookmakers 43%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.06/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/2.21
+1% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
286 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fredrikstad II
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
06.09.2022 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II 4-1 HT 2-1 Fredrikstad II Fredrikstad II NOR4
15.05.2022 Fredrikstad II Fredrikstad II 4-0 HT 2-0 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II NOR4
04.10.2021 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II 1-1 HT 1-0 Fredrikstad II Fredrikstad II NOR4
POST-MATCH Fredrikstad II vs Sarpsborg 08 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarpsborg 08 II cruised past Fredrikstad II 6-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Sarpsborg 08 II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (72%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fredrikstad II and 1.67 for Sarpsborg 08 II.

What was the final score of Fredrikstad II vs Sarpsborg 08 II?

Fredrikstad II 2-6 Sarpsborg 08 II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fredrikstad II vs Sarpsborg 08 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fredrikstad II win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Fredrikstad II 36%, draw 31%, Sarpsborg 08 II 33%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fredrikstad II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fredrikstad II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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