Altınordu 1-0 GMG Kastamonuspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Playoff, 12 May 2025

📅12/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.66
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.06
6+ Goals
11%
19.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altınordu EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altınordu
1W-0D-1L
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
02.04.2025 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Altınordu Altınordu T2L-B
13.10.2024 Altınordu Altınordu 1-0 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor T2L-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altınordu
1-0
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Altınordu vs GMG Kastamonuspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altınordu nicked a narrow win over GMG Kastamonuspor 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Altınordu made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Altınordu had 39% of the ball to GMG Kastamonuspor's 61%, shots finished 8-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Altınordu and 1.00 for GMG Kastamonuspor.

What was the final score of Altınordu vs GMG Kastamonuspor?

Altınordu 1-0 GMG Kastamonuspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Playoff on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altınordu vs GMG Kastamonuspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altınordu win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Altınordu 39%, draw 28%, GMG Kastamonuspor 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Altınordu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Altınordu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T2L-P More Turkey - 2nd Division Playoff
12 May 2025
16:00 Van Spor FK vs 68 Aksaray Belediyespor Analysis →