Kagera Sugar 0-1 Mashujaa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi, 12 May 2025

📅12/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-6.1pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.0pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kagera Sugar EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Mashujaa EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.94/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.96
-16% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kagera Sugar
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Mashujaa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
30.11.2024 Mashujaa Mashujaa 1-1 Kagera Sugar Kagera Sugar Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
POST-MATCH Kagera Sugar vs Mashujaa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mashujaa edged past Kagera Sugar 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Mashujaa found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Kagera Sugar vs Mashujaa?

Kagera Sugar 0-1 Mashujaa in the Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kagera Sugar vs Mashujaa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kagera Sugar win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Kagera Sugar 33%, draw 33%, Mashujaa 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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