IFK Varnamo 0-1 Örebro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 12 May 2026

📅12/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.92
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.55
6+ Goals
8%
14.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 35% vs market 26.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.86
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
14%
4.76
X/2
8%
7.12
X/X
14%
4.42
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
15%
5.33
2/X
8%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Örebro EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -11%
2.04/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.76
+25% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Varnamo
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Örebro
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
02.08.2013 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-5 HT 0-1 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
08.04.2013 Örebro Örebro 2-0 HT 0-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ2
02.03.2013 Örebro Örebro 2-0 HT 1-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Varnamo
0-1
AWAY Örebro
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH IFK Varnamo vs Örebro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Örebro edged past IFK Varnamo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was IFK Varnamo at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, IFK Varnamo had 65% of the ball to Örebro's 35%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Örebro led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for IFK Varnamo and 3.00 for Örebro.

What was the final score of IFK Varnamo vs Örebro?

IFK Varnamo 0-1 Örebro in the Sweden - Superettan on 12/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Varnamo vs Örebro?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Varnamo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split IFK Varnamo 41%, draw 27%, Örebro 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (IFK Varnamo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IFK Varnamo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İSÇ2 More Sweden - Superettan
12 May 2026
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