Şili 3-0 Paraguay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 12 Jun 2024

Şili
3-0 HT 2-0
Paraguay
📅12/06/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2024

Şili vs Paraguay Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.56
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.62
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
+0.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
21%
Away Win
22%
-1.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.6pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Şili v Paraguay — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Şili EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Paraguay EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -18%
2.00/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.53
+44% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.2
16.5 Crosses 9.3
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Şili vs Paraguay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Şili
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Paraguay
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.90 xG 0.89
68% Ball Possession 32%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
502 Passes 182
85% Pass Accuracy 67%
23 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.11.2023 Şili Şili 0-0 HT 0-0 Paraguay Paraguay DKE
28.03.2023 Şili Şili 3-2 HT 1-2 Paraguay Paraguay HAZ
12.11.2021 Paraguay Paraguay 0-1 HT 0-0 Şili Şili DKE
11.10.2021 Şili Şili 2-0 HT 0-0 Paraguay Paraguay DKE
25.06.2021 Şili Şili 0-2 HT 0-1 Paraguay Paraguay AKU
01.09.2017 Şili Şili 0-3 HT 0-1 Paraguay Paraguay DKE

Şili 3-0 Paraguay — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Şili
3-0
AWAY Paraguay
1.51 xG 1.16
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 5
345 Passes 459
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 14
3 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Şili vs Paraguay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Şili ran out comfortable winners over Paraguay 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Şili as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Şili had 44% of the ball to Paraguay's 56%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 1.51 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Şili had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Şili and 1.17 for Paraguay.

What was the final score of Şili vs Paraguay?

Şili 3-0 Paraguay in the Friendlies on 12/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Şili vs Paraguay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Şili win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Şili 52%, draw 27%, Paraguay 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Şili), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Şili) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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