Kyoto Sanga 2-0 Omiya Ardija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 12 Jun 2024

📅12/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
25%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.96
No
42%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
68%
-14.1pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.1pp
25%
Away Win
13%
+12.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
47%
+11.1pp
42%
BTTS No
53%
-11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.55/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.92
+14% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +15%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
412 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyoto Sanga
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Omiya Ardija
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
03.11.2021 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-0 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
24.03.2021 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-2 HT 1-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP2
13.03.2021 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 0-1 HT 0-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP2
26.09.2020 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-4 HT 2-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
02.09.2020 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-0 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP2
21.03.2015 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 2-1 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP2
POST-MATCH Kyoto Sanga vs Omiya Ardija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyoto Sanga beat Omiya Ardija 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kyoto Sanga as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kyoto Sanga and 1.33 for Omiya Ardija.

What was the final score of Kyoto Sanga vs Omiya Ardija?

Kyoto Sanga 2-0 Omiya Ardija in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 12/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyoto Sanga vs Omiya Ardija?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kyoto Sanga win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Kyoto Sanga 54%, draw 21%, Omiya Ardija 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kyoto Sanga) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kyoto Sanga) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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