Montedio Yamagata 3-2 Sagamihara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 12 Jun 2024

📅12/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 24%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-42% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
472 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 196 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montedio Yamagata
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Sagamihara
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.10.2021 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-1 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
30.05.2021 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 2-0 HT 2-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montedio Yamagata
3-2
AWAY Sagamihara
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Montedio Yamagata vs Sagamihara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montedio Yamagata edged past Sagamihara 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Montedio Yamagata as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Montedio Yamagata had 45% of the ball to Sagamihara's 55%, shots finished 14-18.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Montedio Yamagata had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Montedio Yamagata and 0.00 for Sagamihara.

What was the final score of Montedio Yamagata vs Sagamihara?

Montedio Yamagata 3-2 Sagamihara in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 12/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montedio Yamagata vs Sagamihara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montedio Yamagata win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Montedio Yamagata 50%, draw 23%, Sagamihara 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JPK More Japan - İmparatorluk Cup
12 Jun 2024
12:30 Tokyo Verdy vs Parceiro Nagano Analysis →
12:30 Nagoya Grampus vs Japan SC Analysis →
13:00 Ventforet Kofu vs Honda FC Analysis →
13:00 FC Tokyo vs Veertien Kuwana Analysis →
13:00 Kashima Antlers vs Nara Club Analysis →
13:00 Vissel Kobe vs Kataller Toyama Analysis →