Tokushima Vortis 1-0 Vegalta Sendai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 12 Jun 2024

📅12/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.6
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.53
6+ Goals
10%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 36%
-60% / -60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +57% / +57%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.68/1.68
-100% / -61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +130% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
372 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokushima Vortis
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.18 xG 0.45
57% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
541 Passes 281
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
8 Box Touches 11
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.03.2024 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 0-0 HT 0-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
25.06.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-1 HT 1-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
04.03.2023 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 1-1 HT 0-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
18.09.2022 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-1 HT 0-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
11.06.2022 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 2-2 HT 0-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
25.09.2021 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 0-1 HT 0-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP
POST-MATCH Tokushima Vortis vs Vegalta Sendai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokushima Vortis squeezed past Vegalta Sendai 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Tokushima Vortis found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tokushima Vortis had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tokushima Vortis and 0.83 for Vegalta Sendai.

What was the final score of Tokushima Vortis vs Vegalta Sendai?

Tokushima Vortis 1-0 Vegalta Sendai in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 12/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokushima Vortis vs Vegalta Sendai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokushima Vortis win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tokushima Vortis 37%, draw 27%, Vegalta Sendai 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokushima Vortis), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tokushima Vortis) ✓ Under 2.5
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