Sporting Alexandria 1-0 Tersana Giza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division Yükselme Playoff, 12 Jun 2024

📅12/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.38
Draw
31%
2.77
Away
23%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.38
Over 2.5
31%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.27
No
65%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
38%
+8.0pp
31%
Draw
33%
-2.0pp
23%
Away Win
29%
-6.2pp
69%
Under 2.5
69%
+0.0pp
31%
Over 2.5
31%
-0.0pp
35%
BTTS Yes
40%
-4.9pp
65%
BTTS No
60%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Alexandria EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Tersana Giza EU Bookmakers 32%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-21% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Alexandria
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tersana Giza
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
07.06.2024 Tersana Giza Tersana Giza 3-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Alexandria MSR2P
POST-MATCH Sporting Alexandria vs Tersana Giza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Alexandria nicked a narrow win over Tersana Giza 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting Alexandria as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Sporting Alexandria vs Tersana Giza?

Sporting Alexandria 1-0 Tersana Giza in the Egypt - 2nd Division Yükselme Playoff on 12/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Alexandria vs Tersana Giza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Alexandria win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sporting Alexandria 46%, draw 31%, Tersana Giza 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Alexandria), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Alexandria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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MSR2P More Egypt - 2nd Division Yükselme Playoff
12 Jun 2024
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