Stabaek 4-2 Mjondalen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 12 Jun 2024

📅12/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.89
Over 2.5
54%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.39
No
50%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
6.76
2-3 Goals
38%
2.16
4-5 Goals
23%
2.49
6+ Goals
14%
5.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
5%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.4pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.5pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
31%
+14.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
69%
-14.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
68%
-17.8pp
50%
BTTS No
32%
+17.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stabaek EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjondalen EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.60/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.68
-18% / +109% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stabaek
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Mjondalen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.77 xG 1.23
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
242 Passes 362
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.10.2022 Stabaek Stabaek 2-0 HT 0-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
03.07.2022 Mjondalen Mjondalen 2-4 HT 1-2 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
21.08.2021 Stabaek Stabaek 1-1 HT 1-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR
28.07.2021 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-2 HT 0-1 Stabaek Stabaek NOR
29.11.2020 Mjondalen Mjondalen 0-1 HT 0-1 Stabaek Stabaek NOR
16.06.2020 Stabaek Stabaek 0-0 HT 0-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stabaek
4-2
AWAY Mjondalen
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stabaek vs Mjondalen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stabaek saw off Mjondalen 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stabaek as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Stabaek had 46% of the ball to Mjondalen's 54%, shots finished 15-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stabaek had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Stabaek and 0.67 for Mjondalen.

What was the final score of Stabaek vs Mjondalen?

Stabaek 4-2 Mjondalen in the Norway - 1st Division on 12/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stabaek vs Mjondalen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stabaek win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Stabaek 50%, draw 20%, Mjondalen 30%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stabaek), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stabaek) ✓ Over 2.5
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